Bologna logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Cagliari logo

Bologna
1 - 0
Cagliari

Obert (69' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Bologna and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Cagliari

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Brescia
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
BolognaDrawCagliari
45.53% (0.391 0.39)25.72% (0.052 0.05)28.75% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (-0.434 -0.43)51.14% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.382 -0.38)72.99% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58%22.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.55199999999999 -0.55)32.2% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.63 -0.63)68.69% (0.63 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 45.53%
    Cagliari 28.75%
    Draw 25.72%
BolognaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.75%

How you voted: Bologna vs Cagliari

Bologna
78.8%
Draw
17.3%
Cagliari
3.8%
52
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Cagliari
2-1
Bologna
Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')
Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')
Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
2-0
Cagliari
De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Cagliari
1-0
Bologna
Rugani (19')
Nandez (15'), Cerri (89')

Antov (26'), Schouten (86'), Mihajlovic (88')
Oct 31, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
3-2
Cagliari
Barrow (45', 56'), Soriano (52')
Larangeira (37'), De Silvestri (65'), Schouten (68')
Pedro (15'), Simeone (47')
Lykogiannis (21'), Pedro (35'), Cragno (40')
Jul 1, 2020 6.30pm
Bologna
1-1
Cagliari
rhs 2.0


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