Serie B | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 0
Modena

Rog (28')
Rog (64'), Lapadula (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oukhadda (57'), Magnino (61')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Modena had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Modena
37.23% ( 0.28)	27.13% ( 0.07)	35.64% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 50.49% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

-0.27)

54.9% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

-0.22)

76.19% (

0.23)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54% (

0.04)

28.46% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

0.05)

64.23% (

-0.05)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0.35)

29.43% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

-0.42)

65.42% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 37.23%

Modena 35.64%

Draw 27.12%

Cagliari	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.23%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.64%