/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F18%2Fperlog.png)
-
Giorgio Altare
2'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
80'
-
Nicolas Viola
89'
-
Edoardo Iannoni
23'
-
Federico Melchiorri
32'
-
Samuele Righetti
63'
-
Giuseppe Di Serio
67'
-
Samuele Angori
90'+4'
Cagliari vs Perugia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Cagliari
29.88%
▼
(-1.20)
Draw
24.94%
▼
(-0.87)
Perugia
45.17%
▲
(+2.07)
Both Teams to Score:
55.79%
▲
(+2.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.72%
▲
(+3.20)
Under 2.5
47.28%
▼
(-3.20)
Over 3.5
30.49%
▲
(+2.90)
Under 3.5
69.5%
▼
(-2.90)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
70.6%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 0.5
29.4%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 1.5
34.61%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 1.5
65.39%
▼
(-0.97)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5
79.03%
▲
(+2.32)
Under 0.5
20.97%
▼
(-2.32)
Over 1.5
46.27%
▲
(+3.49)
Under 1.5
53.73%
▼
(-3.49)
Score analysis
Cagliari
29.88%
Draw
24.94%
Perugia
45.17%
Cagliari
1-0
@
7.55%
▼
(-0.88)
2-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.88%
2-1 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.88%
Draw
1-1
@
11.79%
▼
(-0.49)
0-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.87)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.87)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
Perugia
0-1
@
9.63%
▼
(-0.61)
1-2 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.45)
0-3 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.34)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.29)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.21)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-93.66)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.17%
1-2 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.27)
0-2 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.45)
0-3 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.34)
1-4 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.29)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.21)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-93.66)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.17%