Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Cittadella
37.45% ( 1.51)	27.26% ( 0.1)	35.28% ( -1.61)

Both teams to score 50.05% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.56% (

-0.42)

55.44% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.37% (

-0.35)

76.63% (

0.35)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

0.7)

28.59% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

0.87)

64.39% (

-0.87)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

-1.2)

29.91% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.98% (

-1.47)

66.02% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 37.45%

Cittadella 35.28%

Draw 27.26%

Cagliari	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.45%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.28%