Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Ternana
45.67% ( -0.6)	24.1% ( -0.2)	30.23% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 58.87% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.67% (

1.36)

43.32% (

-1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.28% (

1.33)

65.72% (

-1.33)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

0.29)

19.15% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

0.48)

50.8% (

-0.48)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

1.23)

27.18% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.41% (

1.57)

62.59% (

-1.57)

Score Analysis

Modena 45.67%

Ternana 30.23%

Draw 24.09%

Modena	Draw	Ternana
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.24% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.09) Other @ 3% Total : 30.23%