Serie B | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
2 - 1
Ternana

Botteghin (14'), Collocolo (32')
Leali (34'), Ciciretti (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Favilli (76')
Palumbo (45+2'), Bogdan (58'), Paghera (90+2'), Diakite (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawTernana
48.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.93% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.07% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.76% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)70.24% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93%52.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)31.98% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)68.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 48.35%
    Ternana 26.93%
    Draw 24.72%
AscoliDrawTernana
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.35%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.93%

Head to Head
May 6, 2022 7.30pm
Ascoli
4-1
Ternana
Tsadjout (6', 19', 60'), Defendi (63' og.)
D'Orazio (45+1')
Partipilo (46')
Pettinari (27')
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Ternana
2-4
Ascoli
Falletti (57'), Peralta (90+4')
Ghiringhelli (13'), Paghera (32'), Celli (73')
Maistro (20', 23'), Caligara (42' pen.), Baschirotto (75')
Maistro (37'), D'Orazio (45+1'), Caligara (58')
Mar 17, 2018 2pm
Ascoli
2-1
Ternana
Padella (20'), Monachello (84' pen.)
Padella (24')
Mignanelli (72')
Gasparetto (48')
Favalli (37'), Valijent (61'), Tremolada (74'), Piovaccari (78')
Signori (90')
Oct 21, 2017 2pm
Ternana
1-1
Ascoli
Montalto (79')
Favilli (74')
rhs 2.0


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