Venezia
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 7, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 3
Ascoli

Rafn Mikaelsson (88', 89')
Jacques Jean Remy (42'), Sandberg (51'), Hasanbegovic (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saric (36'), Falzerano (70'), Fontana (90+1')
Lungoyi (33')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Venezia and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Venezia win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawAscoli
32.94% (0.633 0.63)24.1% (-0.187 -0.19)42.95% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.16% (0.929 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (1.108 1.11)42.19% (-1.103 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41% (1.101 1.1)64.59% (-1.096 -1.1)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.914 0.91)24.94% (-0.91 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (1.251 1.25)59.57% (-1.248 -1.25)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.26600000000001 0.27)19.85% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.425 0.42)51.95% (-0.421 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 32.94%
    Ascoli 42.95%
    Draw 24.1%
VeneziaDrawAscoli
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.088 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.092 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.95%

How you voted: Venezia vs Ascoli

Venezia
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Ascoli
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Ascoli
1-1
Venezia
Bajic (87')
Brosco (13'), Saric (28'), Danzi (37'), Bidaoui (50')
Brosco (59')
Fiordilino (48')
Ceccaroni (24')
Nov 28, 2020 1pm
Venezia
2-1
Ascoli
Aramu (55'), Fiordilino (68')
Mazzocchi (17'), Maleh (52'), Fiordilino (90+1')
Pucino (14')
Cavion (23'), Brosco (46'), Gerbo (87')
Brosco (89')
Jun 26, 2020 8pm
Venezia
2-1
Ascoli
Aramu (8'), Firenze (66')
Molinaro (64'), Caligara (73')
Scamacca (24')
Brlek (6'), Cavion (53'), Troiano (64'), Gravillon (89')
Nov 2, 2019 2pm
Ascoli
1-1
Venezia
Da Cruz (70' pen.)
Ninkovic (33'), Pucino (74')
Zigoni (87')
Fiordilino (28'), Modolo (58'), Maleh (69'), Ceccaroni (82')
Apr 22, 2019 8pm
Ascoli
1-0
Venezia
Ardemagni (36' pen.)
Casarini (75'), Ciciretti (75')

Zampano (52'), Vrioni (61'), Modolo (75')