Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Modena had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Modena win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Frosinone
37.57% ( -0.01)	24.35% ( 0)	38.08% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

-0.02)

42.56% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.03% (

-0.02)

64.96% (

0.02)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

-0.01)

22.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.84% (

-0.02)

56.15% (

0.02)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0)

22.31% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

-0)

55.77% (

Score Analysis

Modena 37.57%

Frosinone 38.08%

Draw 24.35%

Modena	Draw	Frosinone
2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.57%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.08%