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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
2 - 1
AC Milan

Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Schuurs (24'), Buongiorno (30'), Juric (68'), Juric (70'), Pellegri (71'), Linetty (87'), Lukic (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messias (67')
Kalulu (35'), Pobega (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Torino
Sunday, October 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 1-2 AC Milan

Torino can finally end their scoring drought against Milan, but that may not prove enough to avoid defeat on Sunday evening. Even with a number of injuries still diminishing his options, Stefano Pioli has slowly built a Milan squad that features enough quality on the bench to make the difference when required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
23.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.31% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)51.71% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)73.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)36.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)73.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.15% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 23.71%
    AC Milan 51.31%
    Draw 24.97%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03%
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.31%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
12.0%
Draw
7.7%
AC Milan
80.4%
209
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Torino
AC Milan win 5-4 on penalties

Donnarumma (72'), Tonali (85'), Kessie (112')
Donnarumma (73')

Rincon (27'), Linetty (29'), Zaza (46'), Lukic (101'), Lyanco (115'), Gojak (118')
Jan 9, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Torino
Leao (25'), Kessie (36' pen.)
Pioli (24'), Diaz (38'), Romagnoli (41'), Tonali (45+1'), Dalot (65'), Leao (80'), Calabria (85')

Rincon (26'), Segre (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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