Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
| 23.71% ( | 24.98% ( | 51.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( | 51.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( | 73.49% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( | 36.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( | 73.46% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% ( | 20.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.57% ( | 52.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 3-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.31% |