Champions League
Oct 11, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Jorginho 21'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 34'

AC Milan vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 AC Milan

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 45.17% (-0.07)
Draw 23.26% (-0.04)
Chelsea 31.56% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.61% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.28% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 38.72% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 38.97% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 61.03% (-0.22)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.48% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 17.52% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 51.96% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 48.04% (-0.10)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 75.91% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 24.09% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 41.62% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 58.38% (-0.23)

Score analysis

AC Milan 45.17%
Draw 23.26%
Chelsea 31.56%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 45.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.26%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.45% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 31.56%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Wesley Fofana 24' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 56' goal
  • Reece James 61' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 4, 2016 2.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT US Bank Stadium
  • Alessio Romagnoli 6' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 38' goal
  • goal Bertrand Traore 25'
  • goal Oscar 70'
  • goal Oscar 87'

Build-up

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