Chelsea logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Milan logo

Chelsea
3 - 0
AC Milan

Fofana (24'), Aubameyang (56'), James (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Chelsea head coach Graham Potter hands a recall to defender Kalidou Koulibaly for Wednesday's Champions League fixture against AC Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Chelsea and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's Champions League Group E clash with AC Milan.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
ChelseaDrawAC Milan
29.43% (-0.156 -0.16)27.49% (-0.035 -0.04)43.08% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 47.7% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (0.073 0.07)57.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)78.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)35.1% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)71.84% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (0.13499999999999 0.13)26.5% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (0.17899999999999 0.18)61.69% (-0.175 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 29.43%
    AC Milan 43.08%
    Draw 27.48%
ChelseaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.43%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.2% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.08%

How you voted: Chelsea vs AC Milan

Chelsea
50.8%
Draw
20.2%
AC Milan
29.0%
673
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2016 2am
AC Milan
1-3
Chelsea
Traore (25'), Oscar (70' pen., 87')
rhs 2.0


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