Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 0
Chelsea

Orsic (13')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel during the game with Dinamo Zagreb on September 6, 2022.

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Dinamo Zagreb's Mislav Orsic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 6, 2022

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Zagreb

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Chelsea

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 West Ham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Manchester United	6	0	12
6	Chelsea	6	-1	10
7	Liverpool	6	9	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Chelsea
28.01% ( -0.16)	25.37% ( -0.01)	46.62% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.92% (

-0.05)

50.08% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.94% (

-0.05)

72.05% (

0.05)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0.15)

32.21% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.16)

68.7% (

0.17)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

0.05)

21.49% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

0.08)

54.53% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb 28.01%

Chelsea 46.62%

Draw 25.36%

Dinamo Zagreb	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.01%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 46.62%