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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Juventus

Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Maccabi Haifa
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
61.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)22.41% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)16.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)51.26% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.65%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)80.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 61.55%
    Juventus 16.02%
    Draw 22.4%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.02%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
55.5%
Draw
14.8%
Juventus
29.7%
182
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
0-3
AC Milan

Chiesa (53'), Chiellini (57')
Diaz (45+1'), Rebic (78'), Tomori (82')
Diaz (59'), Saelemaekers (76')
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-3
Juventus
Calabria (41')
Romagnoli (90')
Chiesa (18', 62'), McKennie (76')
Bentancur (60'), Danilo (72')
Jul 7, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0


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