Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Fikayo Tomori 45'+1' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 54' goal

AC Milan vs Juventus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 7.45pm
Empoli 1 - 3 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Juventus

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus 3 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Dusan Vlahovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 61.56% (+0.03)
Draw 22.41% (-0.01)
Juventus 16.02% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.23% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.74% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 51.26% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.09% (+0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 83.82% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.18% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 54.34%
Under 1.5 45.65%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5 55.16% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 44.84% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 19.19% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 80.8% (+0.04)

Score analysis

AC Milan 61.55%
Draw 22.4%
Juventus 16.02%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 13.21% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.03% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.31% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 61.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.4%
Juventus
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.02%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 12' yellowcard
  • Junior Messias 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Locatelli 9'
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 89'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alvaro Morata 4' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 65'
  • goal Ante Rebic 76'
Serie A Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Federico Chiesa 53' yellowcard
  • Giorgio Chiellini 57' yellowcard
  • goal Brahim Diaz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 59'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 76'
  • goal Ante Rebic 78'
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 82'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2021 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Davide Calabria 41' goal
  • Alessio Romagnoli 90' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Chiesa 18'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 60'
  • goal Federico Chiesa 62'
  • yellowcard Danilo 72'
  • goal Weston McKennie 76'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Jul 7, 2020 8.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lucas Paqueta 31' yellowcard
  • Ismael Bennacer 36' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 59' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 62' goal
  • Franck Kessie 66' goal
  • Rafael Leao 67' goal
  • Andrea Conti 73' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 80' goal
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 47'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 53'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bonucci 62'
Coppa Italia
Jun 12, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miralem Pjanic 43' yellowcard
  • Sami Khedira 74' yellowcard
  • redcard Ante Rebic 17'
  • yellowcard Andrea Conti 18'