Serie A
Gameweek
18
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flazlog.png)
-
Mattia Zaccagni
45'+3'
-
Felipe Anderson
90'+4'
Sassuolo vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result
Sassuolo
29.85%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
24.45%
▼
(-0.31)
Lazio
45.7%
▲
(+0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
57.43%
▲
(+0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.89%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 2.5
45.11%
▼
(-1.12)
Over 3.5
32.54%
▲
(+1.07)
Under 3.5
67.46%
▼
(-1.07)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5
71.66%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
28.34%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
35.93%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
64.07%
▼
(-0.29)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5
80.14%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 0.5
19.86%
▼
(-0.81)
Over 1.5
48.05%
▲
(+1.29)
Under 1.5
51.95%
▼
(-1.29)
Score analysis
Sassuolo
29.85%
Draw
24.45%
Lazio
45.7%
Sassuolo
2-1
@
7.23%
▼
(-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.30)
2-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 29.85%
1-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.30)
2-0 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 29.85%
Draw
1-1
@
11.47%
▼
(-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.45%
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.45%
Lazio
1-2
@
9.27%
▲
(+0.08)
0-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.12)
0-4 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 45.7%
0-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.12)
0-4 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 45.7%
