Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.