Serie A
Gameweek
15
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fintlog.png)
-
Ademola Lookman
25'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
77'
-
Edin Dzeko
36'
-
Edin Dzeko
56'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
61'
(OG)
Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Fedin-dzeko.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
42.4%
▲
(+1.36)
Draw
24.09%
▼
(-0.11)
Inter Milan
33.5%
▼
(-1.25)
Both Teams to Score:
60.42%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.06%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
41.93%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
35.66%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 3.5
64.34%
▼
(-0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
80.01%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 0.5
19.99%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 1.5
47.83%
▲
(+1.12)
Under 1.5
52.16%
▼
(-1.13)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5
75.51%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 0.5
24.49%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 1.5
41.06%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 1.5
58.94%
▲
(+0.86)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
42.4%
Draw
24.08%
Inter Milan
33.51%
Atalanta BC
2-1
@
8.93%
▲
(+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.4%
1-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.4%
Draw
1-1
@
11.08%
▼
(-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
Inter Milan
1-2
@
7.8%
▼
(-0.19)
0-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.51%
0-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.51%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
22
-
Marten de Roon
37'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
84'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
42'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
62'
Serie A
Gameweek
6
-
Lautaro Martinez
5'
-
Alessandro Bastoni
12'
-
Hakan Calhanoglu
43'
-
Nicolo Barella
70'
-
Edin Dzeko
71'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
4'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
19'
-
Duvan Zapata
21'
-
Ruslan Malinovskyi
30'
-
Rafael Toloi
38'
-
Davide Zappacosta
64'
-
Rafael Toloi
90'
Serie A
Gameweek
26
-
Antonio Conte
12'
-
Milan Skriniar
54'
-
Cristian Romero
59'
Serie A
Gameweek
7
-
Berat Djimsiti
33'
-
Aleksey Miranchuk
79'
-
Lautaro Martinez
30'
-
Stefan de Vrij
44'
-
Lautaro Martinez
58'
-
Arturo Vidal
70'
Serie A
Gameweek
38
-
Berat Djimsiti
25'
-
Rafael Toloi
44'
-
Danilo D'Ambrosio
1'
-
Ashley Young
20'
-
Stefan de Vrij
23'
-
Marcelo Brozovic
56'
-
Samir Handanovic
86'
Serie A
Gameweek
19
-
Lautaro Martinez
4'
-
Antonio Conte
42'
-
Stefano Sensi
65'
-
Diego Godin
83'
-
Hans Hateboer
8'
-
Marten de Roon
24'
-
Jose Luis Palomino
42'
-
Robin Gosens
75'
-
Ruslan Malinovskiy
89'