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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
Inter logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
de Vrij (74'), Skriniar (85'), Onana (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Inter Milan

Atalanta have endured a tough year on home soil and often come up just short against Serie A's top sides. As Inter have just smashed Bologna and - Lukaku aside - are almost at full strength, they can close out the first part of their campaign with a win against their fellow Nerazzuri. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
42.4% (1.352 1.35) 24.09% (-0.11 -0.11) 33.5% (-1.246 -1.25)
Both teams to score 60.42% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.21400000000001 0.21)41.93% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.214 0.21)64.34% (-0.217 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.702 0.7)19.99% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (1.119 1.12)52.16% (-1.121 -1.12)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.605 -0.61)24.49% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06% (-0.858 -0.86)58.94% (0.856 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 42.4%
    Inter Milan 33.51%
    Draw 24.08%
Atalanta BCDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.102 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Inter Milan

Atalanta BC
21.6%
Draw
17.2%
Inter Milan
61.3%
204
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 25, 2021 5pm
Inter Milan
2-2
Atalanta
Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')
Mar 8, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma35179962422060
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio35175134537856
8Fiorentina341481251391250
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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