Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 6-1 Bologna
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
42.4% ( 1.35)	24.09% ( -0.11)	33.5% ( -1.25)

Both teams to score 60.42% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.06% (

0.21)

41.93% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.66% (

0.21)

64.34% (

-0.22)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

0.7)

19.99% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.83% (

1.12)

52.16% (

-1.12)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

-0.61)

24.49% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

-0.86)

58.94% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 42.4%

Inter Milan 33.51%

Draw 24.08%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08%	1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.51%