Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, October 23 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
20.01% ( 0.31)	21.94% ( 0)	58.04% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.89% (

0.42)

43.11% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.49% (

0.41)

65.51% (

-0.41)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62% (

0.56)

35.38% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86% (

0.58)

72.14% (

-0.58)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.42% (

0.04)

14.57% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36% (

0.07)

42.64% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Empoli 20.01%

Atalanta BC 58.04%

Draw 21.93%

Empoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.01%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.93%	1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.04%