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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sassuolo logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Pasalic (45+1'), Lookman (46')
Scalvini (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kiriakopoulos (41')
Kiriakopoulos (21'), Pinamonti (24'), Thorstvedt (30'), Marco Ferrari (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Sassuolo

Atalanta are the only side yet to trail in any of their games during this Serie A season, so Sassuolo have their work cut out to take the initiative on Saturday night. Both teams have markedly improved at the back this term, too, which could lead to a tightly-contested home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
60.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 20.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.33% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.67% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.51% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)38.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.46% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 60.86%
    Sassuolo 18.52%
    Draw 20.62%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 60.86%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25%
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Atalanta BC
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Sassuolo
2.6%
114
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Traore (24', 61')
Henrique (39'), Muldur (63')
Muriel (90+3')
Zappacosta (90+2')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
May 2, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-1
Atalanta
Berardi (52' pen.)
Santos (28'), Chiriches (35'), Locatelli (40'), Obiang (45+1'), Marco Ferrari (53')
Santos (75')
Gosens (32')
Djimsiti (78')
Gollini (23')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-1
Sassuolo
Zapata (11', 49'), Pessina (45'), Gosens (57'), Muriel (68')
Hateboer (25'), Romero (44'), de Roon (80')
Chiriches (75')
Chiriches (51')
Jun 21, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Juventus21813034171737
5Lazio2011363428636
6Bologna208933226633
7Fiorentina1995532201232
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese207582328-526
11Genoa215881830-1223
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2127122031-1113


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