Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 60.86% ( | 20.62% ( | 18.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( | 39.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( | 61.67% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( | 12.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.49% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( | 34.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( | 71.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.76% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.52% |