Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
17.93% ( 0) | 19.03% ( -0) | 63.04% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.83% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.31% ( 0.03) | 32.69% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.64% ( 0.04) | 54.36% ( -0.04) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( 0.02) | 31.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.3% ( 0.02) | 67.7% ( -0.02) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.05% ( 0.01) | 9.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.08% ( 0.02) | 32.92% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 17.93% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.03% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.27% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.68% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.48% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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