Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 50.64% ( | 23.9% ( | 25.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( | 45.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( | 68.01% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% | 18.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.99% ( | 49.01% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( | 31.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( | 68.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-0 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.45% |