Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Atalanta

Baschirotto (27'), Di Francesco (29')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zapata (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Atalanta BC
21.27% ( -0.05)	24.79% ( -0.1)	53.95% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65% (

0.32)

53.35% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11% (

0.27)

74.89% (

-0.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.05% (

0.13)

39.95% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39% (

0.11)

76.61% (

-0.11)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.27% (

0.18)

19.73% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.24% (

0.3)

51.76% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Lecce 21.27%

Atalanta BC 53.94%

Draw 24.78%

Lecce	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.27%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.94%