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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Atalanta logo

Lecce
2 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 2-1)
Zapata (40')
Ruggeri (76'), Koopmeiners (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Lecce
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 5 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-1 Atalanta BC

Lecce have been in poor form of late and need to start picking up wins if they are to avoid being relegated to Serie B after just a season in Italy's top flight. Atalanta have a stunning away record and have only lost to title rivals so far this season, meaning it is hard to see anything other than an away win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
21.27% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.79% (-0.099 -0.1) 53.95% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 48.2% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (0.317 0.32)53.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (0.269 0.27)74.89% (-0.268 -0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.126 0.13)39.95% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (0.114 0.11)76.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.18299999999999 0.18)19.73% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24% (0.297 0.3)51.76% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 21.27%
    Atalanta BC 53.94%
    Draw 24.78%
LecceDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.27%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.62% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.28% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.94%

How you voted: Lecce vs Atalanta

Lecce
10.0%
Draw
7.2%
Atalanta BC
82.8%
180
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2020 2pm
Lecce
2-7
Atalanta
Saponara (29'), Donati (40')
Lucioni (66'), Saponara (70')
Donati (17' og.), Zapata (22', 54', 62'), Ilicic (47'), Muriel (87'), Malinovskiy (90')
Hateboer (45'), Luis Palomino (57')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Atalanta
3-1
Lecce
Zapata (35'), Papu (40'), Gosens (56')
Kjaer (63'), de Roon (73')
Lucioni (86')
Lucioni (62'), Majer (84'), Rispoli (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Roma35179962422060
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio35175134537856
8Fiorentina341481251391250
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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