Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Federico Baschirotto 27' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 29' goal
  • goal Duvan Zapata 40'

Lecce vs Atalanta BC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Udinese 1 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 5.00pm
Atalanta 1 - 2 Napoli
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Ademola Lookman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Lecce 21.27% (-0.06)
Draw 24.79% (-0.10)
Atalanta BC 53.95% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.2% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.65% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 53.35% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 25.11% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 74.89% (-0.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 60.05% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 39.95% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 23.39% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 76.61% (-0.12)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 80.27% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 19.73% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 48.24% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 51.76% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Lecce 21.27%
Draw 24.78%
Atalanta BC 53.94%
Lecce
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.78%
Atalanta BC
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 10.38% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.53% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.15% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.28% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 53.94%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2020 2.00pm
2
7
HT : 2 2
FT Via del Mare
  • Riccardo Saponara 29' goal
  • Giulio Donati 40' goal
  • Fabio Lucioni 66' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Saponara 70' yellowcard
  • goal Giulio Donati 17' (OG)
  • goal Duvan Zapata 22'
  • yellowcard Hans Hateboer 45'
  • goal Josip Ilicic 47'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 54'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Palomino 57'
  • goal Duvan Zapata 62'
  • goal Luis Muriel 87'
  • goal Ruslan Malinovskiy 90'
Serie A Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2019 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)
  • Duvan Zapata 35' goal
  • Papu 40' goal
  • Robin Gosens 56' goal
  • Simon Kjaer 63' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 62'
  • yellowcard Zan Majer 84'
  • goal Fabio Lucioni 86'
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 89'