Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Bologna |
78.8% ( -0.21) | 13.67% ( 0.15) | 7.52% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.64% ( -0.5) | 34.35% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.73% ( -0.57) | 56.27% ( 0.57) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.06% ( -0.15) | 6.94% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.55% ( -0.4) | 25.45% ( 0.4) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.94% ( -0.2) | 49.06% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16% ( -0.14) | 84% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 78.79% | 1-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.67% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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