Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Bologna |
| 78.8% ( | 13.67% ( | 7.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.73% ( | 56.27% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.06% ( | 6.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.55% ( | 25.45% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.94% ( | 49.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16% ( | 84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.11% ( 3-0 @ 10.77% ( 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 4-0 @ 7.19% ( 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 5-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 5-1 @ 2.73% ( 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 6-0 @ 1.71% ( 6-1 @ 1.22% ( 5-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 78.79% | 1-1 @ 6.47% ( 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 2-2 @ 3.07% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.67% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 1-2 @ 2.3% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.52% |