Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 77.79% ( | 14.35% ( | 7.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( | 36.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( | 58.61% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.39% ( | 7.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.78% ( | 27.22% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.27% ( | 49.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.53% ( | 84.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 12.55% 3-0 @ 10.77% ( 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.94% ( 4-1 @ 4.85% ( 5-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 5-1 @ 2.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 6-0 @ 1.53% ( 6-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.77% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 2-2 @ 3.06% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 14.35% | 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 7.87% |