Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
77.79% ( -0.02) | 14.35% ( 0.01) | 7.87% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.44% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.53% ( -0.01) | 36.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.39% ( -0.01) | 58.61% ( 0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.39% ( -0.01) | 7.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.78% ( -0.02) | 27.22% ( 0.02) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.27% ( 0.02) | 49.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.53% ( 0.02) | 84.47% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 12.55% 3-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.77% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 14.35% | 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 7.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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