Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 17, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
0 - 1
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pellegrini (9' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Roma
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Roma
17.61% ( -0.19)	21.97% ( -0.22)	60.42% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

0.61)

46.87% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

0.56)

69.12% (

-0.56)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

0.13)

40.23% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.14% (

0.12)

76.86% (

-0.11)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.93% (

0.34)

15.07% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.42% (

0.63)

43.59% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 17.61%

Roma 60.41%

Draw 21.96%

Sampdoria	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.61%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 10.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.41%