Sampdoria logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Oct 20, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
2 - 2
Ascoli

Verre (10'), Caputo (118')
FT
(aet)
Collocolo (33'), Donati (110')
Sampdoria win 9-8 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Sampdoria and Ascoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Ascoli

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bari 0-2 Ascoli
Saturday, October 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
SampdoriaDrawAscoli
29.09% (0.549 0.55)25.7% (0.22 0.22)45.21% (-0.775 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.344 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (-0.615 -0.62)50.89% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23% (-0.545 -0.55)72.77% (0.53700000000001 0.54)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.090000000000003 0.09)31.82% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.106 0.11)68.25% (-0.114 -0.11)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.61499999999999 -0.61)22.47% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.925 -0.92)56.01% (0.917 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 29.09%
    Ascoli 45.2%
    Draw 25.7%
SampdoriaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.219 0.22)
2-1 @ 7% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.09%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.15% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.97% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.2%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Ascoli

Sampdoria
72.7%
Draw
16.7%
Ascoli
10.6%
66