Serie B | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
1 - 2
Modena

Dionisi (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Falcinelli (54'), Diaw (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Benevento 1-1 Ascoli
Sunday, October 2 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Reggina
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawModena
42.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)27.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)30.59% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (0.040999999999997 0.04)56.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.033999999999999 0.03)77.24% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)26.3% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.012 0.01)61.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)33.46% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (0.045999999999999 0.05)70.1% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 42.19%
    Modena 30.59%
    Draw 27.2%
AscoliDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.59%

rhs 2.0


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