Serie B Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Nicholas Bonfanti 18' goal
  • goal Florian Aye 24'
  • goal Stefano Moreo 61'
  • goal Flavio Bianchi 90'+9'

Modena vs Brescia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Cagliari 1 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Brescia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 1.00pm
Brescia 2 - 1 Perugia
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Florian Aye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Modena had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result

Modena 33.34% (+0.04)
Draw 26.48% (+0.07)
Brescia 40.17% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.18% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.41% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 52.59% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 25.76% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 74.24% (+0.23)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 70.26% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.74% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 34.19% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 65.81% (+0.13)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5 74.27% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 25.72% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 39.35% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 60.65% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Modena 33.34%
Draw 26.48%
Brescia 40.17%
Modena
1-0 @ 9.28% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 33.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.65% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.48%
Brescia
0-1 @ 10.38% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.17%