Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Brescia logo

Modena
1 - 3
Brescia

Bonfanti (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aye (24'), Moreo (61'), Bianchi (90+9' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

Last Six:
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Modena
Friday, September 2 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Brescia

Last Six:
Last Game: Brescia 2-1 Perugia
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Modena had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
ModenaDrawBrescia
33.34% (0.036999999999999 0.04)26.48% (0.065000000000001 0.07)40.17% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.266 -0.27)52.59% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.227 -0.23)74.24% (0.226 0.23)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.10900000000001 -0.11)29.74% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.131 -0.13)65.81% (0.128 0.13)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.178 -0.18)25.72% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.24100000000001 -0.24)60.65% (0.24 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Modena 33.34%
    Brescia 40.17%
    Draw 26.48%
ModenaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 40.17%

rhs 2.0


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