Brescia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Perugia logo

Brescia
2 - 1
Perugia

Galazzi (5'), Aye (13')
Adorni (45+1'), Labojko (61'), Jallow (71'), Viviani (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Luperini (35')
Curado (4'), Melchiorri (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

Last Six:
Last Game: Como 0-1 Brescia
Monday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Perugia

Last Six:
Last Game: Perugia 1-3 Bari
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawPerugia
61.76% (0.085999999999999 0.09)23.14% (-0.259 -0.26)15.09% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 42.29% (1.027 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (1.183 1.18)55.49% (-1.185 -1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (0.961 0.96)76.68% (-0.96299999999999 -0.96)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.46299999999999 0.46)17.61% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (0.799 0.8)48.19% (-0.8 -0.8)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.33% (0.96400000000001 0.96)48.67% (-0.964 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.28% (0.685 0.68)83.72% (-0.68599999999999 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 61.75%
    Perugia 15.09%
    Draw 23.14%
BresciaDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 14.88% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-0 @ 12.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.112 0.11)
3-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.104 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.86% (0.094 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 15.09%

Head to Head
May 14, 2022 5pm
Brescia
3-2
Perugia
Pajac (45+6' pen.), Aye (107'), Bianchi (118')
Tramoni (23'), Adorni (30'), Moreo (90+1'), Proia (90+3')
Kouan (10'), Matos (102')
Dell'Orco (40'), Burrai (45+4'), Lisi (107')
Mar 1, 2022 5.30pm
Brescia
2-1
Perugia
Bianchi (81'), Palacio (84')
Adorni (44'), Pajac (90+3')
De Luca (28')
Ferrarini (18')
Ferrarini (30')
Oct 16, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-0
Brescia
De Luca (25' pen.)
Matos (2'), Falzerano (45'), Dell'Orco (71'), Lisi (90+2')

van de Looi (48'), Mateju (50'), Bajic (74')
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Perugia
2-1
Brescia
Melchiorri (90'), Buonaiuto (98')
Iemmello (31'), Carraro (78'), Melchiorri (94'), Dragomir (107')
Rosi (119')
Donnarumma (43')
Bisoli (70')
Jan 19, 2019 5pm
Perugia
0-2
Brescia

Dragomir (31')
Torregrossa (5'), Donnarumma (76')
Tonali (45'), Dessena (62'), Andrenacci (78')