Perugia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
1 - 3
Bari

Strizzolo (57')
Dell'Orco (5'), Kouan (42'), Sgarbi (55'), Olivieri (61'), Casasola (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Folorunsho (10'), Cheddira (54'), Antenucci (69')
Ricci (33'), Di Cesare (67'), D'Errico (68')
Ricci (66')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

Last Six:
Last Game: Perugia 0-0 Parma
Saturday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Bari

Last Six:
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Palermo
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Bari had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
PerugiaDrawBari
38.99% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)29.44% (0.185 0.18)31.57% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 43.18% (-0.529 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.35% (-0.624 -0.62)63.64% (0.622 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.07% (-0.45 -0.45)82.93% (0.447 0.45)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)31.74% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.383 -0.38)68.17% (0.38199999999999 0.38)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)36.74% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-0.468 -0.47)73.53% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Perugia 38.99%
    Bari 31.56%
    Draw 29.44%
PerugiaDrawBari
1-0 @ 13.38% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.99%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.66% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.44%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 31.56%

Head to Head
May 5, 2018 2pm
Bari
3-1
Perugia
Gyomber (38'), Andrada (74'), Floro Flores (90')
Busellato (45'), Empereur (78')
Diamanti (86')
Colombatto (72')
Dec 16, 2017 2pm
Perugia
1-3
Bari
Di Carmine (33')
Galano (21', 71'), Nene (42')
Tonucci (39'), Nene (59')