Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Calcio Padova
37.8% ( 0.08)	27.83% ( -0.02)	34.38% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.22% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.32% (

0.08)

57.68% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

0.07)

78.44% (

-0.06)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.09)

29.48% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

0.11)

65.49% (

-0.1)

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

0.01)

31.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.97% (

0.01)

68.03% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bari 37.79%

Calcio Padova 34.37%

Draw 27.83%

Bari	Draw	Calcio Padova
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.79%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.37%