Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bari had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Bari
55.24% ( 0.01)	24.07% ( -0)	20.69% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79% (

-0.01)

51.21% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-0.01)

73.05% (

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58% (

-0)

18.41% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42% (

-0)

49.57% (

-0)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.67% (

-0.02)

39.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.97% (

-0.02)

76.03% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Parma 55.23%

Bari 20.69%

Draw 24.06%

Parma	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.46% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.23%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.69%