Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 6, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Brescia logo

Pisa
1 - 4
Brescia

Masucci (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nicolas (25' og.), Aye (61'), Ndoj (72'), Bianchi (90+4')
Karacic (36'), Moreo (66')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Pisa and Brescia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
PisaDrawBrescia
34.5% (2.097 2.1)27.15% (0.567 0.57)38.35% (-2.667 -2.67)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-1.3 -1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.91% (-1.866 -1.87)55.09% (1.863 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.65% (-1.561 -1.56)76.34% (1.558 1.56)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (0.443 0.44)30.24% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59% (0.527 0.53)66.4% (-0.53 -0.53)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-2.337 -2.34)27.9% (2.334 2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-3.081 -3.08)63.51% (3.077 3.08)
Score Analysis
    Pisa 34.5%
    Brescia 38.34%
    Draw 27.15%
PisaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.822 0.82)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.56 0.56)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.25 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 8.44% (0.592 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.399 -0.4)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.421 -0.42)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.34%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 6pm
Pisa
0-0
Brescia

Beruatto (46')
Lucca (83')

Moreo (26'), Cistana (66'), Karacic (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Brescia
0-1
Pisa

Cistana (46'), van de Looi (65'), Chancellor (69'), Spalek (90+5'), Jagiello (90+7')
Sibilli (70')
Birindelli (38'), Leverbe (52'), Lucca (86'), Di Quinzio (90'), Caracciolo (90+6')
May 7, 2021 1pm
Brescia
4-3
Pisa
Aye (18', 65', 82'), Donnarumma (52' pen.)
Jagiello (21'), Martella (28'), Mangraviti (63'), Mateju (80')
Marin (9'), De Vitis (68' pen.), Sibilli (85')
Jan 16, 2021 1pm
Pisa
1-0
Brescia
Lisi (21')
Mazzitelli (13'), Benedetti (90+2')

Mateju (90+4')