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Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
1 - 0
Ascoli

Strizzolo (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

Last Six:
Last Game: Brescia 2-1 Perugia
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Ascoli

Last Six:
Last Game: Ascoli 0-0 Cittadella
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.

Result
PerugiaDrawAscoli
41.04% (0.429 0.43)28.55% (0.070999999999998 0.07)30.4% (-0.504 -0.5)
Both teams to score 45.16% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.97% (-0.38 -0.38)61.02% (0.375 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.99% (-0.285 -0.29)81.01% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (0.059000000000012 0.06)29.22% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (0.073 0.07)65.17% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.81% (-0.584 -0.58)36.19% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03% (-0.598 -0.6)72.97% (0.593 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Perugia 41.03%
    Ascoli 30.39%
    Draw 28.55%
PerugiaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 13% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.57% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 30.39%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Perugia

Iliev (16'), Falasco (41'), Caligara (85')
Lisi (26')
Angella (14'), Matos (41'), De Luca (60'), Olivieri (80')
Aug 28, 2021 7.30pm
Perugia
2-3
Ascoli
Carretta (22'), Rosi (49')
Burrai (17'), Lisi (76')
Saric (4', 55'), Dionisi (60' pen.)
Buchel (21'), Dionisi (51'), Botteghin (69'), Eramo (89')
Jun 21, 2020 7.30pm
Ascoli
0-1
Perugia

Brosco (33'), Troiano (40'), Leali (62'), Sernicola (90+3')
Nicolussi Caviglia (72')
Buonaiuto (53'), Rosi (70')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Perugia
1-1
Ascoli
Iemmello (51' pen.)
Fernandes (77'), Sgarbi (83'), Rosi (89'), Falcinelli (94')
Scamacca (33')
Jan 26, 2019 2pm
Ascoli
0-3
Perugia

Addae (24'), Laverone (50'), Brosco (82')
Verre (51' pen.), Kwang-Song (56'), Falzerano (90')
Michael (16'), Dragomir (26'), Gyomber (38'), Felicioli (68')