Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Ascoli
52.72% ( -0.08)	24.95% ( 0.03)	22.33% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.1% (

-0.08)

52.9% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.49% (

-0.07)

74.5% (

0.07)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-0.06)

20.04% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.73% (

-0.1)

52.26% (

0.1)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.36% (

-0)

38.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.62%

75.37% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bari 52.71%

Ascoli 22.33%

Draw 24.94%

Bari	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 52.71%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.33%