Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 25.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	SPAL
46.7% ( 1.04)	28.05% ( -0.42)	25.24% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 43.52% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.4% (

0.99)

61.6% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

0.73)

81.44% (

-0.73)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

26.48% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

1.31)

61.67% (

-1.31)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.2% (

-0)

40.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62% (

77.37% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bari 46.7%

SPAL 25.24%

Draw 28.05%

Bari	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.89% Total : 46.7%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.05%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.24%