Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2022 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giovanni Zini
  • goal Omar Colley 78'

Cremonese vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
Spezia 2 - 2 Cremonese
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniel Ciofani

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria 0 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Manolo Gabbiadini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result

Cremonese 52.38% (+1.76)
Draw 24.75% (-0.65)
Sampdoria 22.87% (-1.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.29% (+0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.39% (+1.53)
Under 2.5 51.61% (-1.52)
Over 3.5 26.6% (+1.31)
Under 3.5 73.39% (-1.31)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 80.32% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 19.68% (-1.33)
Over 1.5 48.33% (+2.12)
Under 1.5 51.67% (-2.12)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 37.39% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 25.83% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 74.17% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Cremonese 52.38%
Draw 24.75%
Sampdoria 22.87%
Cremonese
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 9.72% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.27% (+0.32)
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.30)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.14)
4-0 @ 2.14% (+0.22)
4-1 @ 2.11% (+0.20)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-93.37)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 52.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.30)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.46)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.75%
Sampdoria
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.49)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.26)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.87%