Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).