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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 2
Cremonese

N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61'), Caldara (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 2-1 Cremonese

Despite there not being a great deal separating the two sides, Spezia have been impressive at home this season, undefeated at Stadio Alberto Picco so far. As such, we expect them to do just enough to get the three points in this one, particularly given the fact that Cremonese are yet to win a game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
40.9% (0.879 0.88) 27.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 31.91% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (0.148 0.15)55.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (0.122 0.12)76.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.553 0.55)26.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.722 0.72)62.05% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.47 -0.47)32.29% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.535 -0.54)68.79% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.9%
    Cremonese 31.91%
    Draw 27.18%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
78.3%
Draw
15.2%
Cremonese
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
Apr 28, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Cremonese
Maggiore (87')
Terzi (31'), Masi (70'), Lopez (90')
Lopez (90')

Cinaglia (26'), Pesce (47'), Canini (67'), Castrovilli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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