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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 2
Cremonese

N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Agudelo (61'), Caldara (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Cremonese

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 2-1 Cremonese

 Despite there not being a great deal separating the two sides, Spezia have been impressive at home this season, undefeated at Stadio Alberto Picco so far. As such, we expect them to do just enough to get the three points in this one, particularly given the fact that Cremonese are yet to win a game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
40.9% (0.879 0.88) 27.19% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 31.91% (-0.793 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.29% (0.148 0.15)55.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.14% (0.122 0.12)76.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.553 0.55)26.77% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.722 0.72)62.05% (-0.72300000000001 -0.72)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.47 -0.47)32.29% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-0.535 -0.54)68.79% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.9%
    Cremonese 31.91%
    Draw 27.18%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.053 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.095 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
78.3%
Draw
15.2%
Cremonese
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2020 8pm
Cremonese
0-0
Spezia

Terranova (68'), Gaetano (77'), Crescenzi (80')
Feb 11, 2020 8pm
Spezia
3-2
Cremonese
Maggiore (56'), Di Gaudio (72'), N'Zola (84')
Ricci (30'), Capradossi (39')
Claiton (27'), Parigini (87')
Deli (41'), Piccolo (55'), Gustafson (73'), Ravanelli (90')
Feb 2, 2019 5pm
Spezia
2-0
Cremonese
Bartolomei (21', 53')
Vignali (81')

Arini (40'), Strizzolo (66')
Sep 15, 2018 5pm
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Terranova (16' pen.), Brighenti (21')

Ricci (28'), Terzi (72')
Apr 28, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Cremonese
Maggiore (87')
Terzi (31'), Masi (70'), Lopez (90')
Lopez (90')

Cinaglia (26'), Pesce (47'), Canini (67'), Castrovilli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149
> Serie A Full Table


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