Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Como
58.08% ( 0.02)	22.38% ( -0)	19.54% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-0)

45.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-0)

68.03% (

0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

0.01)

15.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

0.01)

44.28% (

-0)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

-0.02)

37.38% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

-0.02)

74.16% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Modena 58.08%

Como 19.54%

Draw 22.38%

Modena	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.08%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.38%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.54%