Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
0 - 2
Sudtirol

FT(HT: 0-0)
Mazzocchi (79'), Casiraghi (87' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

Last Six:
Last Game: Frosinone 2-0 Como
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

Last Six:
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-1 Pisa
Sunday, September 4 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawSudtirol
32.87% (-0.447 -0.45)28.25% (0.07 0.07)38.89% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 46.75% (-0.285 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (-0.313 -0.31)59.4% (0.318 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (-0.241 -0.24)79.78% (0.248 0.25)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (-0.47200000000001 -0.47)33.53% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (-0.521 -0.52)70.17% (0.527 0.53)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.073999999999998 0.07)29.68% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (0.086999999999996 0.09)65.73% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Como 32.86%
    Sudtirol 38.88%
    Draw 28.24%
ComoDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.95% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 38.88%