Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
2 - 1
Pisa

Rover (35' pen., 63' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ionita (23')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

Last Six:
Last Game: Reggina 4-0 Sudtirol
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Pisa

Last Six:
Last Game: Pisa 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawPisa
39.8% (2.968 2.97)27.97% (0.752 0.75)32.23% (-3.718 -3.72)
Both teams to score 47.39% (-2.834 -2.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47% (-3.293 -3.29)58.53% (3.293 3.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (-2.639 -2.64)79.11% (2.64 2.64)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (0.14400000000001 0.14)28.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (0.179 0.18)64.55% (-0.179 -0.18)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (-4.119 -4.12)33.52% (4.119 4.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (-4.768 -4.77)70.16% (4.769 4.77)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 39.8%
    Pisa 32.23%
    Draw 27.96%
SudtirolDrawPisa
1-0 @ 12.01% (1.47 1.47)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.49% (0.94 0.94)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.402 0.4)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 9.63% (1.141 1.14)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.434 -0.43)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 10.52% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.726 -0.73)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.608 -0.61)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.61 -0.61)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.499 -0.5)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.23%

rhs 2.0


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