Serie B | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Perugia logo

Como
1 - 0
Perugia

Arrigoni (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cosenza 3-1 Como
Friday, September 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 1-3 Pisa
Saturday, October 1 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.

Result
ComoDrawPerugia
39.04% (0.656 0.66)28.19% (-0.629 -0.63)32.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.87% (1.765 1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.76% (2.185 2.19)59.24% (-2.185 -2.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (1.656 1.66)79.65% (-1.656 -1.66)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (1.477 1.48)29.51% (-1.477 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (1.768 1.77)65.52% (-1.768 -1.77)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (1.135 1.14)33.51% (-1.135 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (1.221 1.22)70.15% (-1.221 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Como 39.03%
    Perugia 32.77%
    Draw 28.19%
ComoDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.242 0.24)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 3% (0.119 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.174 0.17)
4-1 @ 1% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.842 -0.84)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.262 0.26)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.81% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.77%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 1pm
Perugia
0-1
Como

Ghion (32'), Falzerano (45'), Gyabuaa (89'), Lisi (90+4')
Ciciretti (68')
Ioannou (22'), Cagnano (26'), Nardi (78')
Nov 6, 2021 1pm
Como
4-1
Perugia
La Gumina (6'), Cerri (14' pen.), Bellemo (17'), Solini (27')
Parigini (40'), Vignali (49'), Kabashi (88')
De Luca (47')
Dell'Orco (13'), Burrai (20'), Rosi (24'), Curado (79')