Serie B | Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Perugia logo

Ternana
1 - 0
Perugia

Partipilo (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

Last Six:
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Ternana
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Serie B

Perugia

Last Six:
Last Game: Perugia 1-0 Ascoli
Saturday, September 10 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ternana in this match.

Result
TernanaDrawPerugia
51.58% (0.134 0.13)26.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)22.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 44.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (0.054000000000002 0.05)58.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (0.041 0.04)78.84% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.080000000000013 0.08)22.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.12200000000001 0.12)56.34% (-0.129 -0.13)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.1% (-0.07 -0.07)41.89% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)78.35% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 51.56%
    Perugia 22.08%
    Draw 26.34%
TernanaDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 14.09%
2-0 @ 10.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.17% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.56%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 22.08%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 1pm
Ternana
1-0
Perugia
Donnarumma (36')
Proietti (29'), Palumbo (62'), Iannarilli (73'), Paghera (90+2')

Curado (61'), Rosi (87')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-1
Ternana
Kouan (30')
Burrai (17'), Sgarbi (77')
Pettinari (48')
Capuano (12'), Pettinari (39'), Sorensen (45+2'), Palumbo (90+2'), Diakite (90+2')
Apr 22, 2018 2pm
Perugia
2-3
Ternana
Di Carmine (28', 35')
Volta (41'), Bianco (90')
Tremolada (43'), Montalto (52', 80')
Favalli (54')
Nov 26, 2017 2pm
Ternana
1-1
Perugia
Montalto (36' pen.)
Montalto (45'), Signorini (60'), Carretta (77'), Paolucci (88')
Di Carmine (90' pen.)
Volta (45')
Volta (85')
rhs 2.0


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