Serie B | Gameweek 5

Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 3
Ternana

Del Prato (31'), Inglese (51')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coulibaly (48'), Donnarumma (67'), Corrado (86')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 3-3 Parma
Saturday, September 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Bari	4	2	6
11	Parma	4	1	6
12	Cittadella	4	0	5

Ternana

Last Six:

Last Game: Ternana 1-1 Cosenza
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Venezia	4	-2	4
15	Ternana	4	-3	4
16	Modena	4	0	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Ternana
60.57% ( -0.25)	21.71% ( 0.02)	17.72% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

0.28)

45.58% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

0.26)

67.91% (

-0.26)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4% (

0.01)

14.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.32% (

0.02)

42.68% (

-0.02)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.67% (

0.44)

39.33% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.96% (

0.41)

76.03% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Parma 60.56%

Ternana 17.72%

Draw 21.7%

Parma	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.56%	1-1 @ 10.3% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.36% 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.72%