Serie B | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
3 - 3
Parma

Frendrup (16'), Hefti (42'), Coda (51' pen.)
Badelj (27'), Gudmundsson (40'), Bani (63')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Inglese (21'), Mihaila (37'), Estevez (89')
Vazquez (23'), Juric (45'), Coulibaly (53'), Circati (90+4')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Pisa 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ascoli	3	2	7
2	Genoa	3	2	7
3	Cagliari	4	1	7

Parma

Last Six:

Last Game: Parma 1-0 Cosenza
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Bari	3	2	5
9	Parma	3	1	5
10	Palermo	3	1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Parma
38.4% ( 0.48)	29.57% ( 0.23)	32.04% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 42.96% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.04% (

-0.83)

63.96% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.84% (

-0.6)

83.16% (

0.6)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73% (

-0.13)

32.27% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23% (

-0.15)

68.77% (

0.15)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.43% (

-0.97)

36.56% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65% (

-0.99)

73.35% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Genoa 38.39%

Parma 32.03%

Draw 29.55%

Genoa	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 38.39%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.55%	0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 32.03%