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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Martinez (14'), Barella (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
70.9% (0.209 0.21)17.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)11.99% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (0.054999999999993 0.05)9.17% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.91% (0.126 0.13)31.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.38% (-0.196 -0.2)41.61% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.174 -0.17)78.1% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.9%
    Salernitana 11.99%
    Draw 17.11%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.67% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.9%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.11%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
84.6%
Draw
9.2%
Salernitana
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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