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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Martinez (14'), Barella (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Daniliuc (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Salernitana

Inter have not played out a draw in their last 18 league games, and that sequence is set to continue for Inzaghi's improving side, whose confidence has been boosted by recent Champions League feats. While Salernitana offer enough threat to score at San Siro, the hosts' forwards are finally running into form and will punish any lapses in concentration. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
70.9% (0.209 0.21) 17.11% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 11.99% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.03% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)58.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.82% (0.054999999999993 0.05)9.17% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.91% (0.126 0.13)31.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.38% (-0.196 -0.2)41.61% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (-0.174 -0.17)78.1% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.9%
    Salernitana 11.99%
    Draw 17.11%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.67% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.48% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 70.9%
1-1 @ 8% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.11%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 11.99%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
84.6%
Draw
9.2%
Salernitana
6.2%
65
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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