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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
San Siro

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Plzen

Mkhitaryan (35'), Dzeko (42', 66'), Lukaku (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Inter Milan book their spot in the knockout round of the Champions League with a 4-0 victory over Viktoria Plzen, and the result consigns Barcelona to the Europa League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Viktoria Plzen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plzen 2-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.62%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawViktoria Plzen
63.15%22.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)13.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 40.13% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.14% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)56.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.22% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)77.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)17.61% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)48.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.71% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)51.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)85.53% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 63.15%
    Viktoria Plzen 13.89%
    Draw 22.96%
Inter MilanDrawViktoria Plzen
1-0 @ 15.68%
2-0 @ 13.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.15%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 13.89%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Plzen

Inter Milan
82.0%
Draw
8.0%
Viktoria Plzen
10.1%
327
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 5.45pm
Group C
Plzen
0-2
Inter Milan

Sykora (12')
Dzeko (20'), Dumfries (70')