Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.