Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.