Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 70.88% ( | 16.51% ( | 12.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.09% | 31.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.54% | 53.46% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.01% ( | 7.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.82% ( | 28.17% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( | 37.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( | 74.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.05% ( 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 4-0 @ 5.08% ( 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.88% 5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.45% 5-2 @ 1.24% 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.55% Total : 70.88% | 1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.51% | 1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-2 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.6% |